{"id":4190,"date":"2021-02-02T19:43:35","date_gmt":"2021-02-02T19:43:35","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.keystonefinancial.com\/?post_type=oi_article&p=4190"},"modified":"2021-02-02T21:12:41","modified_gmt":"2021-02-02T21:12:41","slug":"weekly-market-commentary-february-1-2021","status":"publish","type":"oi_article","link":"https:\/\/www.keystonefinancial.com\/articles\/weekly-market-commentary-february-1-2021","title":{"rendered":"Weekly Market Commentary | February 1, 2021"},"content":{"rendered":"\n
They say people watching the same event often see different things. That seems to have been the case last week when share prices of a few companies experienced tremendous volatility. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Some cast the events as a David vs. Goliath morality tale, however, Michael Mackenzie of Financial Times saw it differently. He wrote, \u201c\u2026a speculative surge from retail investors using borrowed money\u2026has in the past signaled a frothy market top.\u201d (In financial lingo, a market is \u2018frothy\u2019 when investors drive asset prices higher while ignoring underlying fundamentals.) <\/p>\n\n\n\n
No matter how you characterize it, the events of last week were unusual. Felix Salmon of Axios explained, \u201cAlmost never does a stock trade more than twice its market value in a single day\u2026It has happened 7 times this week already, and 20 times this month\u2026What we’ve seen in the past month, and especially the past week, is certain companies becoming little more than vehicles for short-term gambling.\u201d <\/p>\n\n\n\n
While the social-media-driven trading spectacle was fascinating, it overshadowed other substantive news that may affect more companies over a longer period of time: <\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged near zero.<\/strong> Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated rates will remain low until jobs have recovered, even if inflation moves beyond the Fed\u2019s target rate, reported Joy Wiltermuth and Andrea Riquier of MarketWatch.
<\/li>
The economy continued to grow during the fourth quarter of 2020.<\/strong> The Bureau of Economic Analysis reported gross domestic product (GDP), which is the value of all goods and services produced, increased from the third to the fourth quarter of 2020. The pace of growth slowed significantly from the third quarter as the coronavirus continued to interfere with economic activity.
<\/li>
A highly anticipated vaccine proved less effective than anticipated. <\/strong>Markets responded negatively to the news that a single-shot vaccine was 66 percent effective globally. The value of the vaccine is greater than the statistic suggests, according to experts cited by Ben Levisohn of Barron\u2019s. The shot, \u201c\u2026prevented severe symptoms in 85 percent of patients, meaning that even those who caught the virus had cough, sniffles, and fevers but avoided the worst outcomes\u2026\u201d
<\/li>
Company earnings in the fourth quarter were better-than-expected.<\/strong> On Friday, John Butters of FactSet wrote, \u201cOverall, 37 percent of the companies in the S&P 500 have reported actual results for Q4 2020 to date. Of these companies, 82 percent have reported actual EPS [earnings-per-share] above estimates\u2026\u201d
<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n
Last week, major U.S. stock market indices finished lower.<\/p>\n\n\n\n